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The merger of American Airlines and US Airways, announced today, is no news in the near term, fantastic news in the medium term, and bad news in the long term for me and similarly situated frequent flyer mile hackers.
No News in the Near Term
Your US Airways Dividend Miles are still there. They can still be used to book all the same awards as you’re accustomed to on Star Alliance partners.
Your American Airlines AAdvantage miles are still there. They can still be used to book the same awards as you’re accustomed to on oneworld partners.
Fantastic News in the Medium Term
In the next 12-36 months, the value of AAdvantage miles and Dividend Miles will both rise. Why?
- We are unlikely to see chart devaluations for two or more years. There are other things to do in a merger, and angering loyal customers is at the bottom of the list.
- We are likely to have the ability to transfer miles between our US Airways and American Airlines accounts. This was a feature of the United/Continental merger. This is still an incredible feature of the Southwest/AirTran merger.
- We are definitely going to have our US Airways and American miles combined at some point. The whole is greater than the sum of the parts. One big balance gives you more options than two medium ones.
The US Airways chart has to be devalued soon. It is way too generous. I’ve written a handful of posts on its sweetspots to South America, within South America, to Australia via Asia, within South Asia, and to North Asia.
The American Airlines chart was possibly the next devaluation. Its off peak awards, and prices to Australia and Asia were happily below market price.
The merger will postpone the devaluations because the new American wants to keep its loyal customers loyal.
Until the two loyalty programs of the former US and former AA merge, there will be two award charts. And if this merger is anything like United/Continental or Southwest/AirTran, we will be given the option to link our US Airways and American Airlines accounts and transfer miles between them freely.
That would be fantastic news in the medium term because not only could you combine your miles for more incredible awards, but you could select the better chart for each award you do book and have access to all of the Star Alliance and oneworld.
That means all of US Airways sweetspot awards, oneway bookings through American, the Star Alliance’s strength to Europe, and oneworld’s strength to South America could all be harnessed whether you currently have a stash of US miles, AA miles, or some of each.
Of course, you couldn’t get all those on the same award. You would either have to transfer to US Airways and use its strengths or transfer to AA for its strengths. But I am salivating at the possibility. Unfortunately this remains only a possibility because no details were given on whether this transferring would be allowed. I sure hope it is.
We can be almost positive that when the two loyalty programs officially merge into one programs our miles will be combined. That’s good because one larger balance is always worth more than two smaller ones. Among the many benefits of one larger balance will be the increased likelihood you have enough miles for American Airlines Explorer Awards–their most valuable awards, which I’ll be discussing in depth in the next week.
Bad News in the Long Term
The merger is good news for the airline industry and bad news for consumers in the long term. Fewer airlines will mean less competition. We’ll see higher fares–and far worse–fewer credit card offerings possibly with lower sign up bonuses.
In a few years, instead of seeing the Citi American Airlines cards and the Barclay’s US Airways cards, we’ll see just the New American Airlines cards, wherever they are issued.
How to Exploit the American Airlines/US Airways Merger
While the two airlines are still separate and issuing their own credit cards and miles, I am going to try to rack up as many as possible of each kind.
As I’ve said, best practice is to apply for one personal card from each issuing bank every 91 days. Normally I get the card with the most valuable sign up bonus at the time, but there are occasionally other things to consider. The fact that Barclay’s US Airways MasterCard is virtually certain to disappear, and the Citi American Airlines cards may also disappear strongly argues for getting these cards now.
Barclay’s US Airways MasterCard Strategy
In my experience, and other reports I’ve read, you can get at least two Barclay’s US Airways MasterCards. They can be open simultaneously, and you can get the 30,000 mile bonus twice. You should apply for a Barclay’s US Airways MsaterCard today.
Application Link: US Airways Premier World MasterCard with 30,000 US Airways miles after first purchase
In 91 days, you should apply for the card again. In 182 days, you should check back here to see whether people have had success getting three.
You should be able to rack up at least 60,000 US Airways MasterCards in this way before the merger. You can use those miles on US Airways’ fantastic chart or, in the future, on the new American.
There is also a US Airways Business MasterCard with 25,000 US Airways miles after first purchase. I would consider this card too. Its sign up bonus isn’t huge, but it will disappear soon, and I don’t know of any better business cards offered by Barclay’s.
Citi American Airlines Card Strategy
Citi has several American Airlines cards. Until recently, you could get two at the same time. I think the two browser trick is dead from the reader emails and FlyerTalk reports I’ve read.
But you can still get one personal American Airlines card now for 30k miles and one business card for another 30k.
- Citi® Platinum Select® / AAdvantage® World MasterCard®
- CitiBusiness® / AAdvantage® World MasterCard®
You can’t get a new AA personal card every 91 days. You actually have to wait 18 months between applications. With the slow pace of airline mergers, you may be able to get AA cards now and in 18 months before the merger is completed.
What Cards Will the New Airline Offer?
No one knows for sure. Since the US Airways brand is disappearing, we know its cards will too, making getting the US Airways Premier World MasterCard a more pressing matter. I hope both cards are discontinued, and a new one is released. A new card would mean a new sign up bonus we were all eligible for.
Time to Burn Miles?
I think we’ll be given several months notice whenever the status of our miles or an award chart will change, so I am not in burn mode for now. When we get that notice, we will probably be able to book under the old rules for a few months plus be able to book flights 11 months in advance. With all that lead time, I am in no hurry to burn. I will be booking awards at my normal rate for myself based on my travel desires, not a need to zero out my balances.
Recap
The American Airlines/US Airways merger is no news for now, fantastic new for the next few years, and bad news afterwards. There is no hurry to burn either type of miles, but there is a hurry to earn both types before opportunities to do so disappear. I recommend getting the US Airways MasterCard and Citi American Airlines cards now (and again later) before they disappear.
Application Link: US Airways Premier World MasterCard with 30,000 US Airways miles after first purchase
Application Link: Citi® Platinum Select® / AAdvantage® World MasterCard® with 30,000 miles after $1k in spending in the first three months
Application Link: CitiBusiness® / AAdvantage® World MasterCard® with identical 30k mile sign up bonus after $1k in spending in the first three months
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An award chart way too generous? Really?
As a consumer, you should probably adjust your mindset.
This is kind of a funny comment, since all I do is write about taking advantage of award charts, and specifically in US’s case going way beyond the chart. It was overly generous compared to their peers, and they were on the verge of devaluing it surely. Obviously I wouldn’t have welcomed that.
If I currently have the AA Visa would I be able to apply for the AA Amex or Mastercard and get the sign up bonus?
You have to wait 18 months.
I’m looking forward to the medium term 🙂
“In the long run, we are all dead.”
~Keynes
I am looking forward to the medium term too!
i applied for citi AA cards using two browser trick and got approved 3 months back. how long do i have to wait to apply for the business card?
You can get it on your next app-o-rama.
I was just approved for the barclays card, now you said you could reapply in 91 days (assuming it is still available) would I have to cancel the first one to reapply ? And if so will I lose the 40,000 bonus if I haven’t used them by then?
Those 40,000 bonus miles are in your US Airways account. They will not be affected by closing a credit card. I didn’t cancel my first card before reapplying.
I’m new to this. Should I apply for both these cards now or wait til I hit 91 days from my last app-o-rama (which was just 30 days ago)? I have never applied for any card from Barclays. I have never applied for the citi AA card, but I did get another citi card.
Wait until 91 days from your last app-o-rama.
Any idea how soon US is likely to stop code sharing with UA? I fly out of a mid market airport (IND) that makes UA/US the best option, but DL may soon be better once the code share stops and I can’t consolidate miles on UA. Thanks.
I don’t know, but I think you should be able to credit US miles to United for at least the rest of 2013. You will have this option until US Airways leaves the Star Alliance.
how would I get these credited to my United miles
Great and Timerly Post relating to the recent US American Merger!
Quick question: I have recently had both the 30k US Airways and a 40K US Airways personal cards (they appear to be different porducts). Both are currently open. Do you think I could apply for the 40K offer again after 91 days, or would you go for the Business card with the smaller bonus?
Similiar question with the AA cards. I have both the AMEX and VISA personal cards open. Can I apply for the Mastercard personal (25k bonus), or do I have to wait 18 months?
Thanks for your help with these specific questions.
Are you aware if the 91 days rule apply for getting US Air business card after getting a personal card/or any other rule for that matter? I got the personal one last month and will try to get another one in July but would still like to grab those 25k if possible.
I am not aware of any such rules.
[…] For an explanation of why I recommend these cards, why I heartily recommend these cards today, and why a US Airways card is slipped in, check out How to Exploit the American Airlines/US Airways Merger. […]
What are the chances of the second card being approved? Would you say that nearly everybody is getting more than 1 of these cards after 91 days? I’m wondering what the decline rate truly is. It might be wiser for me to get the business card at 25K , since it is truly a different card, than take a chance at the 40 or 35 K personal card. What do you think? Thanks!
It’s hard to put a percentage on it from anecdotal reports. Why not apply for both the business and personal card?
I have neither of these cards. Just so I’m hearing you clearly, I could apply for biz and personal on the same day and there’s a chance I will get approved for both?
The US Airways personal and business card, yes. The AA cards, separate the apps by a few days.
Thanks Scott! That answers it!
100% Agree that the last thing the new AA wants to do is piss off their costumers right now.
I took a look back at the UA/CO and DL/NW mergers and found that the average time from the day the mergers are officially announced to the debut of a new Credit Card or new campaign for the credit card was 14 and 12 months respectively.
I think that with AA we will see a similar timetable so people looking to get some miles arbitrage should not procrastinate in pulling the trigger today.
I applied for the US Air biz card with my last churn and was rejected; they told me in my reconsideration call that they wanted to do business with “businesses who have been around for at least 3 years”, so bear that in mind when filling out your app (I have an 11 month old personal US card with them and a credit score in the 750s). Worth noting: the app “auto rejected” because I said my business had been around for only 1 year, so at least I didn’t get a hard inquiry.
Thanks for that data point.
Please explain the 91 day rule on applying and when do I cancel the cards? I had a UA cards a few years ago, can I apply and get the bonus again? The fine print states “first time” applicants.
I wait 91 days between applications because I find it gets me more approvals. Chase generally gives you the bonus again as a new customer if your account has been closed for two years. Plus a few years ago, the “United card” was actually a different product, so your chances of approval are high. YMMV. Good luck.
One more question. How long do you hold the cards before cancelling them?
https://milevalu.wpengine.com/should-i-keep-this-card-whether-to-hold-or-cancel-a-rewards-card-when-an-annual-fee-is-due/
[…] maintained that I expected the merger to happen. In February of this year, I wrote a post called How to Exploit the American Airlines/US Airways Merger that still has great […]
[…] maintained that I expected the merger to happen. In February of this year, I wrote a post called How to Exploit the American Airlines/US Airways Merger that still has great […]